Kaipara home to the most dependent population

80% of growth in population will be more people aged 65 plus. By 2030 the population in Kaipara will increase by 10% or 2,355 people. The largest contribution to this growth will be in the older age groups with 80% of the growth in those aged 65 years plus.

20% of the growth in population will be those aged 19 years and below. Those aged under 19 years of age will contribute almost the 20% to the overall population growth. This makes Kaipara, an area with a high dependency rate. Only 5 more people will be in the traditional working-age group from 20 to 64.

Age and sex distribution of population, Kaipara, 2023 and projections to 2030

Māori population to increase by 12.9%. The Màori population will be 6,178 up from 5,472 in 2023 and accounting for 29% of the total population increase. While the tamariki population will remain about the same, the aging population (aged over 65) will account for almost 60% of the increase. Pàkeha and those not Pacificia, Màori or Asian will increase from 22,650 to 23,340 people - 58% of the total population increase.

Age and sex distribution population, Kaipara, Māori, 2023 and projections to 2030

The areas of the most population growth are Mangawhai Rural, Mangawhai and Mangawhai Heads.

Mangawhai Rural, Kaiwaka, and Manugaru are the areas where the most Māori population growth will occur